Fed Up by Danielle DiMartino Booth (pg. 74)

“The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained,” Bernanke calmly assured congress. “In particular, mortgages to prime borrowers and fixed-rate mortgages to all classes of borrowers continue to perform well, with low rates of delinquency.”

Roadmap for Gold

Below you will find the chart of gold as of April 3, 2020 at about 4PM. It had become quite clear that gold had consolidated via an inverse head and shoulders pattern and was preparing for a new leg higher.

It is now April 6, 2020 around 8:45AM and gold appears to be breaking out. With breakouts, retests of the breakout line are common, but not definite.

Many did not understand the major drop that occurred in gold during the stock market crash.

Fundamentally, none of this should come as a surprise as anyone who has been watching the news would have lost track of the fiscal and monetary stimulus by now. We had the $6 Trillion fiscal package out of the government, but what most do not follow closely enough is the FED.

For fun, I will try to answer where gold is headed next.

Target 1 – $1,700 – Recent peak and psychological round number resistance

Target 2 – ~$1,733 – .786 Fibonacci retracement of the 2011 peak to the 2015 trough

Target 3 – ~$1,780 – This area was busy in 2011 and 2012

Target 4 – $1,800 – Psychological round number resistance

Target 5 – $1,900 – Psychological round number resistance

Target 6 – $1921 – New all-time weekly highs

Fed Up by Danielle DiMartino Booth (pg. 64)

But the day after, October 20, 1987, marked a more significant point in Wall Street history. The FOMC slashed the fed funds rate by half a percentage point to just under 7 percent.

Then the mother of all storks delivered the “Greenspan Put” with the release of this one-sentence: “The Federal Reserve, consistent with its responsibilities as the Nation’s central bank, affirmed today its readiness to serve as a source of liquidity to support the economic and financial system.”

As Pavlov was to dogs, the Fed was to market players. They would come to understand and embrace the commitment Greenspan had made by putting a floor under losses. Investors could pile into risk, confident the market now offered a built-in “put” option. (A put is a contract that allows the owner to profit if the price of an underlying security declines.